NIC

Nicolet Bankshares INC

One filing signal, as this feed published it.

NIC Nicolet Bankshares INC BEARISH conviction 1

2026-07-24: ATWELL ROBERT BRUCE (Director) — EXERCISE-AND-SELL (option exercise, not a position reduction) — $453.2K of NIC (open-market, Form 4, code S) [exercise-and-sell: sold 2,662 sh, all of them exercised the same day at $56.43 vs a $170.24 avg sale — $150.2K cost to acquire, $303.0K net; the other 4,838 were withheld for tax (code F) — nothing was kept, every share exercised was sold or withheld] [CORRECTION 2026-08-26: Wave 8 — the strike bill, the net proceeds, the retained count or the day-gap were computed over every creation on the filing rather than over the lot this sale actually took. Re-derived from the filing under the fixed parser. Original text in signal_events]

Trade date
2026-07-24
Flagged
2026-07-29

SEC Form 4 on EDGAR permalink 0001174850-26-000159

Everything sibyl flagged on 2026-07-29

What these fields mean

Direction
Direction (BULLISH/BEARISH) classifies the event, not the price. It is not a forecast, and no scout's direction has been validated as predictive.
Conviction
Confidence is a heuristic conviction score, not a calibrated probability. On a single filing it is the scout's own 1-5 grade; on a row that rolls several filings together it is their SUM and has no ceiling, so it can read above 5. The stored number is published as it stands — never clamped, never hidden.
Dates
Dates are rendered exactly as filed. A sibyl row leads with the TRADE date the Form 4 reports; a pelosi row shows the member's trade date and the date the disclosure was filed, which are rarely the same day. "Flagged" is the day this feed first published the row.
Backfilled rows
A row marked "already old news when flagged" reached the feed after the fact. It is a record of a filing, not of a timely catch.
Sources
Every row links to the filing it was read from — an SEC Form 4 on EDGAR, or the disclosure document filed with the House Clerk or the Senate. A row whose source document this feed cannot link to is left off it.

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