2026-07-22: Karros Kirt P (SVP, Treasurer, Corp Dev) — scheduled sell (10b5-1 plan) — $1.1M of HPE (open-market, Form 4, code S) [10b5-1 plan] [exercise-and-sell: sold 23,675 sh, all of them exercised 2 days earlier at $44.56 vs a $47.02 avg sale — $1.1M cost to acquire, $58.2K net; the other 16,607 were withheld for the exercise price or the tax (code F) — nothing was kept, every share exercised was sold or withheld] [CORRECTION 2026-08-29: shape sweep — the day-gap was printed from the wrong end: the phrase hangs off the creation verb and the number is measured from the creation, so 'the next day' dated the vest AFTER the sale it supplied. Re-derived from the filing under the fixed parser. Original text in signal_events]
Direction (BULLISH/BEARISH) classifies the event, not the price. It is not a forecast, and no scout's direction has been validated as predictive.
Conviction
Confidence is a heuristic conviction score, not a calibrated probability. On a single filing it is the scout's own 1-5 grade; on a row that rolls several filings together it is their SUM and has no ceiling, so it can read above 5. The stored number is published as it stands — never clamped, never hidden.
Dates
Dates are rendered exactly as filed. A sibyl row leads with the TRADE date the Form 4 reports; a pelosi row shows the member's trade date and the date the disclosure was filed, which are rarely the same day. "Flagged" is the day this feed first published the row.
Backfilled rows
A row marked "already old news when flagged" reached the feed after the fact. It is a record of a filing, not of a timely catch.
Sources
Every row links to the filing it was read from — an SEC Form 4 on EDGAR,
or the disclosure document filed with the House Clerk or the Senate. A row whose source
document this feed cannot link to is left off it.
Free to quote, cite, and reference with attribution to apibeary.com. Informational only — not investment advice. Signals describe observed filings, not recommendations.