CPAY

Corpay, Inc.

One filing signal, as this feed published it.

CPAY Corpay, Inc. BEARISH conviction 2

2026-08-24 (legs over 2 days to 2026-08-25): Clarke Ronald (Director, CEO & Chairman of BOD) — EXERCISE-AND-SELL (option exercise; 25% of the shares sold came from stock already held) — $88.5M of CPAY (open-market, Form 4, code S) [exercise-and-sell: sold 213,860 sh, 159,957 of them (75%) exercised 3 days earlier (94,374 sh) and 4 days earlier (65,583 sh) at $150.74 vs a $413.89 avg sale — the $24.1M strike was settled in shares withheld by the issuer (code F), not in cash, so $88.5M gross is $88.5M of cash; the held position FELL by 53,903 on the day after 290,043 withheld for the exercise price or the tax (code F) — that many of the shares sold came out of stock the filer already held] [CORRECTION 2026-08-29: shape sweep — one day-gap was quantified over shares of two different ages: the number published is the WIDEST gap any of the sold shares carried, and the sentence applied it to all of them, so shares sold on the day they were created were dated days before the sale — the split is now printed with the share count in each part. Re-derived from the filing under the fixed parser. Original text in signal_events]

Trade date
2026-08-24
Flagged
2026-08-26

SEC Form 4 on EDGAR permalink 0001193125-26-365658

Everything sibyl flagged on 2026-08-26

What these fields mean

Direction
Direction (BULLISH/BEARISH) classifies the event, not the price. It is not a forecast, and no scout's direction has been validated as predictive.
Conviction
Confidence is a heuristic conviction score, not a calibrated probability. On a single filing it is the scout's own 1-5 grade; on a row that rolls several filings together it is their SUM and has no ceiling, so it can read above 5. The stored number is published as it stands — never clamped, never hidden.
Dates
Dates are rendered exactly as filed. A sibyl row leads with the TRADE date the Form 4 reports; a pelosi row shows the member's trade date and the date the disclosure was filed, which are rarely the same day. "Flagged" is the day this feed first published the row.
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Sources
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