2026-07-24: Rep Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) — BUY $1M-$5M of BE (PTR filed 2026-08-21, 28d lag, SPOUSE) [CORRECTION 2026-08-26: the same PTR also records an unserved BOUGHT CALLS $1M-$5M leg on BE, $100 strike, exp 2027-06-17 — the leg was read as ambiguous at ingest (the asset column names only the stock; the filing states the leg in its description) and filed sidecar-only. Original text in signal_events]
Direction (BULLISH/BEARISH) classifies the event, not the price. It is not a forecast, and no scout's direction has been validated as predictive.
Conviction
Confidence is a heuristic conviction score, not a calibrated probability. On a single filing it is the scout's own 1-5 grade; on a row that rolls several filings together it is their SUM and has no ceiling, so it can read above 5. The stored number is published as it stands — never clamped, never hidden.
Dates
Dates are rendered exactly as filed. A sibyl row leads with the TRADE date the Form 4 reports; a pelosi row shows the member's trade date and the date the disclosure was filed, which are rarely the same day. "Flagged" is the day this feed first published the row.
Backfilled rows
A row marked "already old news when flagged" reached the feed after the fact. It is a record of a filing, not of a timely catch.
Sources
Every row links to the filing it was read from — an SEC Form 4 on EDGAR,
or the disclosure document filed with the House Clerk or the Senate. A row whose source
document this feed cannot link to is left off it.
Free to quote, cite, and reference with attribution to apibeary.com. Informational only — not investment advice. Signals describe observed filings, not recommendations.