pelosi · 2026-08-13

Rows this feed flagged on 2026-08-13. The dates inside each row are the filing's own.

OGN Organon & Co. BEARISH conviction 2

2026-08-05: Rep Kevin Hern (R-OK · Ways & Means) — SELL $1K-$15K of OGN (PTR amended 2026-08-12, JT — the same trade was first disclosed 2026-08-10, 5d lag) [CORRECTION 2026-08-28: this row is not a first disclosure. Its line in the filing it cites (House doc 20035196) reads "Filing Status: Amended", and this product's own store already held the same trade disclosed under the original: filed 2026-08-10, 5 days after the trade, late=0. The 7-day lag measured the amendment's date against the original's trade, which is the wrong end of the wrong document; the amendment inherits the original's timeliness and the line now says whose lag it quotes. THE OWNER — the line, and the account block it sits in, state owner JT; the row served owner:self, which this feed renders as silence, which a reader takes as the member's own account. The marker this feed already prints for owner:JT is restored. The ticker, the direction and the amount band are unchanged and were always right. Found by a store-wide sweep, not by naming this document: every served row still claiming a first-disclosure lag was tested against the store, and every candidate's own line was then read in its own PDF. The pelosi_trades columns (late, lag_days, amended, owner) are corrected with the sentence; the event_key is deliberately NOT re-keyed — a content key is immutable once published and re-keying would orphan this row's own audit log. Original text in signal_events]

Trade date
2026-08-05
Disclosed
2026-08-12
Flagged
2026-08-13
Member
Kevin Hern (R-OK)
Chamber
house
Account
JT
Transaction
S
Amount (disclosed range)
$1,001 – $15,000
Disclosure lag
5 days
Amended
yes
Committees
HSWM
Caucuses
rsc
Ideology bucket
hard-r
Committee-aligned sector
yes

House Clerk / Senate eFD disclosure permalink

What these fields mean

Direction
Direction (BULLISH/BEARISH) classifies the event, not the price. It is not a forecast, and no scout's direction has been validated as predictive.
Conviction
Confidence is a heuristic conviction score, not a calibrated probability. On a single filing it is the scout's own 1-5 grade; on a row that rolls several filings together it is their SUM and has no ceiling, so it can read above 5. The stored number is published as it stands — never clamped, never hidden.
Dates
Dates are rendered exactly as filed. A sibyl row leads with the TRADE date the Form 4 reports; a pelosi row shows the member's trade date and the date the disclosure was filed, which are rarely the same day. "Flagged" is the day this feed first published the row.
Backfilled rows
A row marked "already old news when flagged" reached the feed after the fact. It is a record of a filing, not of a timely catch.
Sources
Every row links to the filing it was read from — an SEC Form 4 on EDGAR, or the disclosure document filed with the House Clerk or the Senate. A row whose source document this feed cannot link to is left off it.

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